BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arkansas St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 76 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (7-1) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  135.26

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2016 Home    L   119.59  10  31   1A  51 (  9-  4) Toledo                -15.67     -5.33                      
  2 09/10/2016 Away    L   121.53  14  51   1A  11 (  8-  5) Auburn                -13.73    -23.27                      
  3 09/16/2016 Away    L   118.35  20  34   1A  87 (  3-  9) Utah St               -16.92      2.92                      
  4 09/24/2016 Home    L   121.40  23  28   1B  14 ( 10-  3) Central Arkansas      -13.86      8.86                      
  5 10/05/2016 Home    W * 128.79  27  26   1A  93 (  5-  7) Georgia Southern       -6.47      7.47                      
  6 10/15/2016 Home    W * 133.45  17   7   1A 104 (  6-  7) South Alabama          -1.81     11.81                      
  7 10/29/2016 Home    W * 155.15  51  10   1A 123 (  4-  8) Louisiana-Monroe       19.89     21.11                      
  8 11/03/2016 Away    W * 140.07  31  16   1A 116 (  3-  9) Georgia St              4.80     10.20                      
  9 11/12/2016 Home    W * 134.56  41  22   1A 120 (  3-  9) New Mexico St          -0.70     19.70                      
 10 11/17/2016 Away    W * 172.41  35   3   1A  65 ( 10-  3) Troy                   37.14     -5.14                      
 11 11/26/2016 Away    L * 123.54  19  24   1A 100 (  6-  7) Louisiana-Lafayette   -11.73      6.73                      
 12 12/03/2016 Away    W * 130.22  36  14   1A 128 (  2- 10) Texas St-San Marcos    -5.05     27.05                      
 13 12/17/2016 Away    W   159.38  31  13   1A  59 (  6-  7) Central Florida        24.11     -6.11                      
      Averages             135.26  27.3 21.5

Best game:  172.41 = 32 point win over Troy
Worst game: 118.35 = 14 point loss to Utah St
Team stdev:  17.08